Green parliamentary leader Anton Hofreiter has sharply criticized the plans of Defense Minister Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer for a stronger military engagement of Germany in the world. "My impression is that this defense minister is above all defending herself," said Hofreiter of the German Press Agency. "In the last few weeks, she's lined up with daring, ill-considered and age-old ideas."
The complex international crises, however, need "well-thought-out and coordinated policies, of which this federal government is miles away," said the Green Party politician. "It always has to apply: Priority is given to diplomacy and civilian crisis prevention, which also means accepting responsibility." The undifferentiated call for more military is irresponsible. "
Kramp-Karrenbauer had called for increased deployment of the Bundeswehr against terrorism and the protection of its own interests. In a keynote address to the junior executives of the Bundeswehr in Munich, the CDU leader said she wanted to set up a National Security Council. It should coordinate instruments of diplomacy, military, business and trade, internal security and development cooperation.
The day before, the CDU politician had already made a strong commitment to greater use of the Bundeswehr abroad. She told the "Süddeutsche Zeitung" that in the future Germany must "openly deal with the fact that we – like every other country in the world – have their own strategic interests".
How does the Civey method work?
The opinion research institute Civey works with a multi-level fully automated procedure. All representative real-time surveys are in a Germany-wide
Network out of more than 20,000 websites played ("Riversampling"), so it is not only users of SPIEGEL ONLINE interviewed. Anyone can participate in the surveys online and will be included in the representative result with their answers if they have registered. From these users, Civey draws a quoted sample that ensures that it matches the population, for example, in terms of age, gender and population density. Finally, in a third step, the results are weighted by other attendees' socio-demographic factors and attitudes to correct distortions and prevent manipulation. More information can be found in the Civey FAQ.
Why is a registration required?
The registration helps to weigh the answers, thus allowing a result for the surveys, which is representative of the voting population in Germany. Each participant is asked for their gender, year of birth and place of residence. After that, everyone can give their opinion on different topics in further surveys.
How are the results representative?
The answer of each participant is weighted so that the result of a survey is representative of the population. For the Sunday question and the government monitor, this population comprises the population entitled to vote in Germany. The weighting is done fully automatically on the basis of the personal details at the registration as well as the history of earlier answers of a user. More methodological details can be found in the Civey whitepaper.
Will you reach enough participants online?
Opinion polls are usually conducted by phone or online. The significance of the results depends on how many people can be reached and how many actually participate in a survey when they are approached. Internet connections and landline connections are currently about equally widespread in Germany – with about 90 percent of households, mobile phones even 95 percent. The willingness to participate in all methods in the single-digit percentage range, experts estimate it particularly low for telephone surveys.
So there is a group of people in both methods, which can not be achieved, either because they have no connection to the respective network or not want to participate in the survey. Therefore, a significant number of people must always be approached for a meaningful result. Civey surveys are currently in addition to SPIEGEL ONLINE in more than 20,000 other websites involved, including various media. This ensures that as many populations as possible can be reached.
How do I recognize the goodness of a result?
Until the result of a survey becomes representative, enough different people have to participate. Whether this is already successful, makes Civey transparent, in that for each survey result a statistical error probability is specified. The number of participants and the interview time are also published for each survey.
What does it mean when the colored areas in the graphics overlap?
In our graphs, the statistical error is shown as a colored interval. This interval shows the uncertainty associated with a poll score. For example, on the Sunday question, one can not say exactly how many percent a party would get in a poll, but specify an interval where the outcome is likely to be. If the intervals of two survey values overlap, then strictly speaking no statements about the difference can be made. For the Sunday question this means: If the poll numbers of two parties are so close together that their error intervals overlap, it can not be deduced from which of the two would currently perform better in the election.
What happens to my data?
Who's behind Civey polls?
At this point, readers in the app and on the mobile / stationary website have the opportunity to participate in a representative Civey survey. Civey is an online opinion research institute based in Berlin. To compile its representative surveys, the software of the company, founded in 2015, merges websites into a nationwide survey network. In addition to SPIEGEL ONLINE include, among other things, the "Tagesspiegel", "World", "Wirtschaftswoche" and "Rheinische Post". Civey was funded by the ProFit funding program of Investitionsbank Berlin and the European Regional Development Fund.